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Oliver, bro. First off, congrats! Hell of an impulse purchase.
And I would say, conventionally, you'd lose more. You're spending more, way more considering what you were going to get. So in theory the first year, the 15-20% depreciation hit would be more than the used car you were looking at which would depreciate maybe 10% on less value (so less "value" lost).
But then as you know, this isn't a conventional car. There may be a good chance the car retains it's value fairly well in the first couple of years. Especially if BMW stands firm on the one and done until the new M2 and there aren't any more of these cars to purchase.
But don't make the mistake that this is some sort of investment. Plan to make a profit in a year? I can think of other ways to do that.
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