Weather Doesn't Look Good for our 1-ers!

[sc135i]

A link to UK shipping forecast today produced the following:



There are warnings of gales in all areas except Trafalgar

The general synopsis at midday low 150 miles west of Rockall 982 expected Hebrides 974 by midday tomorrow. New low expected 200 miles west of Rockall 964 by same time

The area forecasts for the next 24 hours

Viking north Utsire south Utsire westerly backing southerly 5 or 6, increasing 7 or gale 8, perhaps severe gale 9 later. Rough or very rough. Showers. Moderate or good, occasionally poor

Forties Cromarty Forth Tyne Dogger southwest backing south 5 to 7, increasing 7 to severe gale 9. Rough or very rough. Mainly fair. Moderate or good, occasionally poor

Fisher German Bight Humber southwest backing south 6 to gale 8, perhaps severe gale 9 later. Rough or very rough. Mainly fair. Moderate or good, occasionally poor

Thames Dover Wight south 5 to 7, increasing 7 or gale 8, perhaps severe gale 9 later. Moderate becoming rough. Rain. Moderate or good

Portland Plymouth Biscay southwest 6 to gale 8, increasing severe gale 9 for a time. Very rough or high. Rain. Moderate or good, occasionally poor

Fitzroy Sole south or southwest 7 to severe gale 9, increasing storm 10 for a time, veering west 5 to 7 later. Very rough or high. Rain. Moderate or poor

Lundy Fastnet Irish Sea south veering west 6 to gale 8, increasing severe gale 9 or storm 10 for a time. Very rough or high. Rain then showers. Moderate or poor becoming good

Shannon Rockall Malin south or southwest 7 to severe gale 9, occasionally storm 10 at first. Very rough or high. Rain. Moderate or poor becoming good later

Hebrides southeast veering southwest 5 to 7, increasing 7 to severe gale 9 for a time. Rough or very rough. Rain. Moderate, occasionally poor

Bailey easterly becoming cyclonic 7 to severe gale 9, increasing storm 10 for a time. Rough or very rough. Rain. Moderate, occasionally poor

Fair Isle southwest 5 or 6 backing east or southeast 6 to gale 8, perhaps severe gale 9 later. Very rough. Showers then rain. Moderate or poor

Faeroes westerly backing easterly 7 to severe gale 9. Very rough or high. Showers then rain. Moderate or poor
Southeast Iceland westerly veering northeasterly 7 to severe gale 9, perhaps storm 10 later. Very rough or high. Squally wintry showers. Moderate or poor

IIRC, Force 10 is as bad as it gets, so I hope they are strapped in tight!! :iono:

[Dave]

Portland Plymouth Biscay southwest 6 to gale 8, increasing severe gale 9 for a time. Very rough or high. Rain. Moderate or good, occasionally poor


omg this is where our EMden is coming thru...but they are taking it slow as seen on vessel tracker... i think they are docking till it passes

[sc135i]

This link: http://www.wunderground.com/MAR/mmm.html?map=wave

shows wave forecasts . . . I wonder if our ships will skirt the heavy seas, going South then West, or will simply head through the heavier weather? At least the area of "off the scale" wave heights is north of where they need to pass . . . .

I think I will request that my next bimmer be delivered by U-boat.:biggrin:

[larryn]

Bah! Thirty foot waves build character. We're going to have some tough love going on there.

[sc135i]

Originally Posted by larryn

Bah! Thirty foot waves build character. We're going to have some tough love going on there.

Thirty foot waves also require Courage, if you get my drift. . .

[larryn]

Originally Posted by sc135i

Thirty foot waves also require Courage, if you get my drift. . .

Drifting, as in "no power, floating like a cork"? :wink:

The way that I look at it, the possibility of a "Courage" happening again this soon is almost nil. Even so, there's still plenty of time to build another and get it to me by 3/22.

Lasty, because you know I'm evil, I leave you with one thought :biggrin::

[ChrisK]

I have been a boater since I was a kid. 30' waves would me make shi* no matter what boat/ship I was on. I just hope BMW doesn't spend all of March trying to put my car back together.
I have been in 8'-10' waves on Lake Michigan. :eyebulge: then then ...on a 30' yacht!

[AwesomeBMW]

Yes, it is certainly somthing else to be on a sailboat out in the bay with 10' seas. You wonder sometimes if it will right itself back up since it was already listing because of the sail/high wind. It certainly makes life interesting and exciting

[Xii]

I will tell you right now being as I am in the Coast Guard...30 foot waves are rediculous. If the Emden is remotely smart they would just wait it out. If they left already, eh its going to be a hell of a ride. I don't know much about the stability of that ship but considering the conditions they would most likely be in the 20-40 degree rolls....regularly. I'm sure the ship and the equipment holding the cars down is adequate for taking such rolls, but man that is going to be one hurting crew if they venture out in rough seas like that.

[larryn]

After the Courage incident, just a few weeks ago, I'm pretty sure BMW won't be too upset if the crew of these vessels waits it out a bit. Vesseltracker still shows the Maersk Wind moored off of Zeebrugge Belgium.

[NJKSC27]

if anyone has seen the show The Deadliest Catch on Discovery channel, they encounter 20' seas at the most. A rogue wave capsized a few of those boats at around a 35' wave. :eyebulge:

[AwesomeBMW]

Originally Posted by NJKSC27

if anyone has seen the show The Deadliest Catch on Discovery channel, they encounter 20' seas at the most. A rogue wave capsized a few of those boats at around a 35' wave. :eyebulge:

awesome show. Lets hope our brand new BMWs make it over here with out a scratch

[larryn]

Originally Posted by NJKSC27

if anyone has seen the show The Deadliest Catch on Discovery channel, they encounter 20' seas at the most. A rogue wave capsized a few of those boats at around a 35' wave. :eyebulge:

Agreed. Great show. Those boats on the show are toys compared to these vessels though. The Maersk Wind is 590' x105'. The boats on the show are 80' to 130', and have a 25' beam. You could fit quite a few of them on the Maersk Wind.

I did wonder if they would wait it out, but I guess not.

[sc135i]

Originally Posted by larryn

Agreed. Great show. Those boats on the show are toys compared to these vessels though. The Maersk Wind is 590' x105'. The boats on the show are 80' to 130', and have a 25' beam. You could fit quite a few of them on the Maersk Wind.

I did wonder if they would wait it out, but I guess not.

Based upon the last reported position of the Emden, off the coast of Spain, either she wasn't planning on coming straight to the US, of she has diverted South to avoid the 30' seas for 18'-20' seas.

Still, I would be in the zone.